{"id":23522,"date":"2014-03-21T20:02:24","date_gmt":"2014-03-21T20:02:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ecowatch.com\/?p=327502"},"modified":"2014-03-21T20:02:24","modified_gmt":"2014-03-21T20:02:24","slug":"why-energy-companies-predictions-on-carbon-limits-shouldnt-be-trusted","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/leedpoints.com\/green-building-blog\/why-energy-companies-predictions-on-carbon-limits-shouldnt-be-trusted\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Energy Companies\u2019 Predictions on Carbon Limits Shouldn\u2019t Be Trusted"},"content":{"rendered":null,"protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/files.cdn.ecowatch.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/shutterstock_108163007-150x150.jpg\" alt=\"The Center for American Progress' latest study shows why you can't always trust the predictions of energy companies when it comes to carbon emission safeguards. Photo courtesy of Shutterstock\"><\/p>\n<p>The Center for American Progress (CAP) has about 40 years worth of evidence to prove why <a href=\"http:\/\/ecowatch.com\/news\/energy-news\/coal-mining-pollution\/\" target=\"_blank\">coal<\/a> and utility companies&#8217; predictions on carbon limits should be taken with a grain of salt.<\/p>\n<p>To analysts there, <a href=\"http:\/\/ecowatch.com\/news\/energy-news\/\" target=\"_blank\">energy<\/a> companies and their advocates have engaged in their own version of Groundhog&#8217;s Day for decades.<\/p>\n[caption id=\"attachment_327546\" align=\"alignnone\" width=\"500\"]<a href=\"http:\/\/files.cdn.ecowatch.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/shutterstock_108163007.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"The Center for American Progress' latest study shows why you can't always trust the predictions of energy companies when it comes to carbon emission safeguards. Photo courtesy of Shutterstock\" src=\"http:\/\/files.cdn.ecowatch.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/shutterstock_108163007.jpg\" width=\"500\" height=\"300\"><\/a> The Center for American Progress&#8217; latest study shows why you can&#8217;t always trust the predictions of energy companies when it comes to carbon emission safeguards. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.shutterstock.com\/pic-55478791\/stock-photo-antarctic-ice-island-with-penguins-in-atlantic-ocean.html?src=csl_recent_image-1\">Photo courtesy of Shutterstock<\/a>[\/caption]\n<p>It began in 1970, when industry types were debating the merits of the Clean Air Act.&nbsp;Carl G. Beard II, then-director of the West Virginia Air Pollution Control&nbsp;Commission, testified before the Senate Public Works Committee that complying with the Clean Air Act of 1970 would lead to&nbsp;&ldquo;consumers of power [paying] for these costly errors for the next 25 to 30 years.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Sure, rates went up, but not because of a desire for cleaner air. About a decade later, the <em>Congressional&nbsp;Quarterly Almanac 1981<\/em> reflected on how wrong Beard and others who shared his prediction were:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>Improved air quality had brought benefits worth from $4.6 billion to $51.2 billion per year, while costs of &hellip; pollution control equipment were estimated to have been $16.6 billion in 1978. &hellip; The act had not been an important obstacle to energy development &#8230;&nbsp;The law had not significantly inhibited economic growth.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>CAP&#8217;s report,&nbsp;<em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.americanprogress.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/ElectricityRates-brief.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">Groundhog Days:&nbsp;Utilities Wrong Again About Pollution Safeguard Costs<\/a>,&nbsp;<\/em>is full of similar stories that exemplify a recurring sense of paranoia when it comes to carbon limit proposals and energy companies&#8217; response to them.&nbsp;Now that the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is preparing to <a href=\"http:\/\/ecowatch.com\/2014\/02\/20\/alec-legislators-carbon-pollution-limits\/\" target=\"_blank\">propose carbon emissions limits<\/a> for existing power plants this summer, CAP analysts see the same thing happening again.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The bloated predictions about the cost of EPA proposals to finally control carbon pollution from power plants is simply a rehash of past hysteria,&rdquo; Daniel J. Weiss, senior fellow and director of climate strategies at CAP, said in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.americanprogress.org\/press\/release\/2014\/03\/19\/86001\/release-utility-companies-wrong-again-about-the-cost-of-pollution-safeguards\/\" target=\"_blank\">a statement<\/a>. &ldquo;These new safeguards are essential for Americans&rsquo; health and economy. Officials should ignore industry&rsquo;s phony forecasts and instead focus on the huge costs of climate inaction: more smog, more asthma attacks, more ferocious storms, more droughts and more wildfires.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>The Edison Electric Institute (EEI), &nbsp;lobbying arm for investor-owned utilities, tried instilling fear in 1989 in a campaign against acid-rain-pollution reductions from power plants. The EEI believed that&nbsp;power rates in 48 states would significantly rise. Two decades later, CAP shows that the EEI&rsquo;s overall rate prediction was 16 percent too high.<\/p>\n[caption id=\"attachment_327525\" align=\"alignnone\" width=\"500\"]<a href=\"http:\/\/files.cdn.ecowatch.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/chartCAP.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"EEI wrong predicted large rate increases in the 10 biggest coal electricity states (all rates in 2009 dollars). Graphic credit: Center for American Progress\" src=\"http:\/\/files.cdn.ecowatch.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/chartCAP.jpeg\" width=\"500\" height=\"300\"><\/a> EEI wrong predicted large rate increases in the 10 biggest coal electricity states (all rates in 2009 dollars). Graphic credit: Center for American Progress[\/caption]\n<p>In reality, a&nbsp;2011 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/microsites\/ostp\/2011_napap_508.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">National Science and&nbsp;Technology Council report <\/a>showed that cid-rain-reduction&nbsp;provisions in the&nbsp;Clean Air Act of 1990&nbsp;led to a roughly 66-percent cut in acid-rain ingredients, achieving pollution&nbsp;reductions that went above and beyond those required by law, according to CAP&#8217;s report. The EPA estimated the compliance cost would be about&nbsp;$3 billion per year or less than half of the initial estimates, while human health&nbsp;benefits of reduced acid rain were &ldquo;$170 billion to $430 billion in 2010 alone,&rdquo; according to the EPA.<\/p>\n<p>CAP concluded the study with words from&nbsp;Robert J. Rauch,&nbsp;an economist with Jack Faucett Associates, during&nbsp;that 1972 Clean Air Act hearing that ring just as true 42 years later. As the organization puts it, they represent a decades-long &#8220;Groundhog&#8217;s Day.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;[It&#8217;s] really quite simple. An industry confronted with environmental regulations commissions&nbsp;an &ldquo;expert&rdquo; study to show that the costs of complying with the regulations&nbsp;would be prohibitive,&#8221; Rauch said. &#8220;These cost estimates are then highly publicized and used to generate public demand&nbsp;that the standards be relaxed.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Once publicized, these cost estimates&nbsp;take on a life of their own&mdash;mere repetition assures their acceptance.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Visit EcoWatch&rsquo;s&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/ecowatch.com\/category\/news\/energy-news\/coal-mining-pollution\/\" target=\"_blank\">COAL<\/a>&nbsp;page for more related news on this topic.<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,57],"tags":[1283,2903,2906],"class_list":["post-23522","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-green-building-posts","category-leed-news","tag-coal","tag-energy","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/leedpoints.com\/green-building-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23522","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/leedpoints.com\/green-building-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/leedpoints.com\/green-building-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leedpoints.com\/green-building-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leedpoints.com\/green-building-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23522"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/leedpoints.com\/green-building-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23522\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/leedpoints.com\/green-building-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23522"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leedpoints.com\/green-building-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23522"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leedpoints.com\/green-building-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23522"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}